Germany is not short of supermarkets. It is short of places where new ones may be built. Decades of post-war expansion covered the country with food stores, and planning law now channels large new stores into a limited number of designated locations. The result is a development market that works unlike any other in German real estate: a small circle of trusted developers, retailers who choose sites with forensic care, and a steady flow of rebuilt and enlarged stores on sites that have traded for decades. For investors, understanding how a store comes into being is the first step towards judging how long it will last.
Key takeaways
• Every new supermarket needs five parties to align: the municipality, the retailer, the developer, the lender and, increasingly, the equity investor.
• Two documents unlock financing and define the asset: a building permit and a lease signed by a leading retailer, mostly for 15 years.
• Planning law makes new sites scarce: in our experience most new stores replace or enlarge existing ones, and a retailer's decision to rebuild on a site it already trades from is one of the strongest signals of location quality.
• The most sought-after projects go to a small circle of long-standing developers; investors gain access through them, not through the open market.
Questions to ask about any new store:
• Is it a new site or a replacement for a store the retailer has operated before — and for how long?
• Is the building permit final, and does it cover the store's full sales area and use?
• What are the lease term, the extension options and the indexation clause?
• Which developer built it, and what is its track record with this retailer?
• What energy features does the building have — and who owns them? A property company that sells solar power or charging itself keeps its extended trade-tax reduction only within statutory limits (Part 9).